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Daily Norseman · NFL 2026 · week 5

Sam Buegler: NFL picks record, 2026 season

Record so far

Sam Buegler is straight up 6-7-1 (46.2%), against the spread 5-9-0 (35.7%) and on totals 7-6-0 (53.8%).

Straight up
6-7-146.2% of 13 decided · 95% range 23–71%
Against the spread
5-9-035.7% of 14 decided · 95% range 16–61%
Totals
7-6-053.8% of 13 decided · 95% range 29–77%
Current streak, straight up
L2Longest: 2 wins, 2 losses

Fewer than 30 decided picks in each market so far, so this record is listed but not ranked.

41 graded picks read after the games but time-stamped before kick-off by Tallysight; 3 picks waiting for a result (recorded by us before kick-off).

At the price Tallysight recorded when each pick was made, one unit on every straight-up pick would be down 4.24 units after 13 decided picks (-32.6% per pick). This is a separate measure from the win-loss record.

At the price Tallysight recorded when each pick was made, one unit on every spread pick would be down 4.13 units after 14 decided picks (-29.5% per pick). This is a separate measure from the win-loss record.

At the price Tallysight recorded when each pick was made, one unit on every totals pick would be up 0.58 units after 13 decided picks (+4.4% per pick). This is a separate measure from the win-loss record.

Every pick

Week 5 · SU 6-7-1; ATS 5-9-0; Totals 7-6-0
GameStraight upAgainst the spreadTotalsFinalHow we got it
TB at DAL
Thu, Oct 8
DAL LossDAL -8 LossUnder 48.5 WinTB 24, DAL 16Time-stamped before kick-off
PHI at JAX
Sun, Oct 11
JAX WinJAX -7.5 LossOver 41.5 LossPHI 17, JAX 19Time-stamped before kick-off
CHI at GB
Sun, Oct 11
CHI LossCHI -1.5 LossUnder 45.5 WinCHI 7, GB 31Time-stamped before kick-off
CIN at MIA
Sun, Oct 11
CIN WinCIN -6.5 WinUnder 42.5 LossCIN 31, MIA 24Time-stamped before kick-off
CLE at NYJ
Sun, Oct 11
CLE LossCLE +2.5 LossUnder 40.5 WinCLE 12, NYJ 17Time-stamped before kick-off
HOU at TEN
Sun, Oct 11
HOU WinHOU -7.5 WinUnder 38.5 WinHOU 26, TEN 3Time-stamped before kick-off
IND at PIT
Sun, Oct 11
IND LossIND +2.5 LossOver 44.5 WinIND 22, PIT 34Time-stamped before kick-off
LV at NE
Sun, Oct 11
NE WinNE -3.5 WinOver 44.5 WinLV 17, NE 45Time-stamped before kick-off
MIN at NO
Sun, Oct 11
MIN WinMIN -1.5 WinUnder 42.5 WinMIN 23, NO 13Time-stamped before kick-off
NYG at WSH
Sun, Oct 11
WSH PushWSH -3.5 Loss—NYG 27, WSH 27Time-stamped before kick-off
DEN at LAC
Sun, Oct 11
LAC LossLAC +3.5 LossOver 41.5 LossDEN 23, LAC 17Time-stamped before kick-off
DET at ARI
Sun, Oct 11
DET WinDET -5.5 WinUnder 54.5 LossDET 45, ARI 21Time-stamped before kick-off
SF at SEA
Sun, Oct 11
SEA LossSEA -3 LossUnder 46.5 LossSF 32, SEA 29Time-stamped before kick-off
BAL at ATL
Sun, Oct 11
ATL LossATL -3 LossUnder 44.5 LossBAL 30, ATL 23Time-stamped before kick-off
BUF at LAR
Mon, Oct 12
BUF PendingBUF +3.5 PendingOver 54.5 PendingNot playedRecorded before kick-off

All Week 5 picks

By week

W-L-P by week.
WeekStraight upAgainst the spreadTotals
Week 56-7-15-9-07-6-0
Season6-7-15-9-07-6-0

Check against Daily Norseman

Tallysight marks each graded pick. Our grade matches its mark on 41 of 41 of Sam Buegler's picks.

By team

Record when picking each team
W-L-P. "Picked to win" counts picks on that team; "picked to lose" counts picks on its opponent.
TeamPicked to winPicked to loseATS on themATS against
ARI Arizona Cardinals—1-0-0—1-0-0
ATL Atlanta Falcons0-1-0—0-1-0—
BAL Baltimore Ravens—0-1-0—0-1-0
BUF Buffalo Bills————
CHI Chicago Bears0-1-0—0-1-0—
CIN Cincinnati Bengals1-0-0—1-0-0—
CLE Cleveland Browns0-1-0—0-1-0—
DAL Dallas Cowboys0-1-0—0-1-0—
DEN Denver Broncos—0-1-0—0-1-0
DET Detroit Lions1-0-0—1-0-0—
GB Green Bay Packers—0-1-0—0-1-0
HOU Houston Texans1-0-0—1-0-0—
IND Indianapolis Colts0-1-0—0-1-0—
JAX Jacksonville Jaguars1-0-0—0-1-0—
LV Las Vegas Raiders—1-0-0—1-0-0
LAC Los Angeles Chargers0-1-0—0-1-0—
LAR Los Angeles Rams————
MIA Miami Dolphins—1-0-0—1-0-0
MIN Minnesota Vikings1-0-0—1-0-0—
NE New England Patriots1-0-0—1-0-0—
NO New Orleans Saints—1-0-0—1-0-0
NYG New York Giants—0-0-1—0-1-0
NYJ New York Jets—0-1-0—0-1-0
PHI Philadelphia Eagles—1-0-0—0-1-0
PIT Pittsburgh Steelers—0-1-0—0-1-0
SF San Francisco 49ers—0-1-0—0-1-0
SEA Seattle Seahawks0-1-0—0-1-0—
TB Tampa Bay Buccaneers—0-1-0—0-1-0
TEN Tennessee Titans—1-0-0—1-0-0
WSH Washington Commanders0-0-1—0-1-0—

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