NFL 2026 season · weeks 1–5 · 56 experts · 9 outlets

NFL expert picks leaderboard, 2026 season

Who leads

Straight up: Tyler Sullivan (CBS Sports), 51-26-1. Against the spread: Jamey Eisenberg (CBS Sports), 46-30-2.

1 of the 12 ranked experts is above 50% against the spread.
With about 78 picks each, the 95% range around a win rate is roughly 21 points wide. Most of these records overlap, so small gaps in rank mean little.
Experts with fewer than 30 decided picks are listed under each table but not ranked.

Straight up
Against the spread
Totals
Top records by week

How these picks were recorded: 2,989 picks restored from the outlets' pages after the games; 464 picks read after the games but time-stamped before kick-off by Tallysight; 70 picks recorded by us before kick-off. What the labels mean.

Straight up

Ranked by win %, pushes left out. Equal win % shares a rank. At least 30 decided picks.
#	Expert	W-L-P	Win % 95% range	Picks
1	Tyler Sullivan CBS Sports	51-26-1	66.2% 55–76%	78
2	Mike Clay ESPN	50-27-1	64.9% 54–75%	78
3	Lindsey Thiry ESPN	49-27-1	64.5% 53–74%	77
4	Brooke Cersosimo NFL.com	48-29-1	62.3% 51–72%	78
4	Dave Richard CBS Sports	48-29-1	62.3% 51–72%	78
4	Eric Moody ESPN	48-29-1	62.3% 51–72%	78
4	Jamey Eisenberg CBS Sports	48-29-1	62.3% 51–72%	78
4	Jason Reid ESPN	48-29-1	62.3% 51–72%	78
4	Pamela Maldonado ESPN	48-29-1	62.3% 51–72%	78
4	Pete Prisco CBS Sports	48-29-1	62.3% 51–72%	78
4	Ryan Wilson CBS Sports	48-29-1	62.3% 51–72%	78
12	Matt Bowen ESPN	46-30-1	60.5% 49–71%	77
13	Dan Graziano ESPN	46-31-1	59.7% 49–70%	78
13	Dan Parr NFL.com	46-31-1	59.7% 49–70%	78
13	Jared Dubin CBS Sports	46-31-1	59.7% 49–70%	78
13	Jeremy Fowler ESPN	46-31-1	59.7% 49–70%	78
13	John Breech CBS Sports	46-31-1	59.7% 49–70%	78
18	Ben Solak ESPN	44-33-1	57.1% 46–68%	78
18	Bobby Kownack NFL.com	44-33-1	57.1% 46–68%	78
18	Kalyn Kahler ESPN	44-33-1	57.1% 46–68%	78
18	Seth Wickersham ESPN	44-33-1	57.1% 46–68%	78
22	Gennaro Filice NFL.com	43-34-1	55.8% 45–66%	78
23	Jeremy Bergman NFL.com	42-35-1	54.5% 43–65%	78

32 experts with fewer than 30 decided picks (not ranked)

Listed by win %. Too few picks to rank.
#	Expert	W-L-P	Win % 95% range	Picks
—	Gilberto Manzano Sports Illustrated	10-3-1	76.9% 50–92%	14
—	Anthony Balaj Pride of Detroit	9-4-1	69.2% 42–87%	14
—	Eric Thompson Daily Norseman	9-4-1	69.2% 42–87%	14
—	James Dator SB Nation	9-4-1	69.2% 42–87%	14
—	Mark Schofield SB Nation	9-4-1	69.2% 42–87%	14
—	Ricky O'Donnell SB Nation	9-4-1	69.2% 42–87%	14
—	Warren Ludford Daily Norseman	9-4-1	69.2% 42–87%	14
—	Brandon Knapp Pride of Detroit	8-5-1	61.5% 36–82%	14
—	GA Skol Daily Norseman	8-5-1	61.5% 36–82%	14
—	Jared Mueller SB Nation	8-5-1	61.5% 36–82%	14
—	John Whiticar Pride of Detroit	8-5-1	61.5% 36–82%	14
—	Matthew Warren SB Nation	8-5-1	61.5% 36–82%	14
—	Mike Florio ProFootballTalk	8-5-1	61.5% 36–82%	14
—	Mookie Alexander SB Nation	8-5-1	61.5% 36–82%	14
—	R.J. Ochoa SB Nation	8-5-1	61.5% 36–82%	14
—	Shawn C Daily Norseman	8-5-1	61.5% 36–82%	14
—	Albert Breer Sports Illustrated	7-6-1	53.8% 29–77%	14
—	Brandon Gowton SB Nation	7-6-1	53.8% 29–77%	14
—	Christopher Gates Daily Norseman	7-6-1	53.8% 29–77%	14
—	David Fucillo SB Nation	7-6-1	53.8% 29–77%	14
—	Erik Schlitt Pride of Detroit	7-6-1	53.8% 29–77%	14
—	Eva Geitheim Sports Illustrated	7-6-1	53.8% 29–77%	14
—	Jeremy Reisman Pride of Detroit	7-6-1	53.8% 29–77%	14
—	John Pluym Sports Illustrated	7-6-1	53.8% 29–77%	14
—	Matt Verderame Sports Illustrated	7-6-1	53.8% 29–77%	14
—	Meko Scott Pride of Detroit	7-6-1	53.8% 29–77%	14
—	Zac Snyder Pride of Detroit	7-6-1	53.8% 29–77%	14
—	Conor Orr Sports Illustrated	6-7-1	46.2% 23–71%	14
—	Mike Kadlick Sports Illustrated	6-7-1	46.2% 23–71%	14
—	Sam Buegler Daily Norseman	6-7-1	46.2% 23–71%	14
—	Mitch Goldich Sports Illustrated	5-8-1	38.5% 18–64%	14
—	Ryan Mathews Pride of Detroit	0-1-0	0.0% 0–79%	1

Against the spread

Only outlets that publish spread picks appear here: CBS Sports, NFL.com, Daily Norseman, Pride of Detroit and FOX Sports. NFL.com's spread picks come from each editor's predicted score. This week's spread picks

Ranked by win %, pushes left out. Equal win % shares a rank. At least 30 decided picks.
#	Expert	W-L-P	Win % 95% range	Picks
1	Jamey Eisenberg CBS Sports	46-30-2	60.5% 49–71%	78
2	Dave Richard CBS Sports	38-38-2	50.0% 39–61%	78
3	Brooke Cersosimo NFL.com	36-41-1	46.8% 36–58%	78
4	Ryan Wilson CBS Sports	35-41-2	46.1% 35–57%	78
5	Bobby Kownack NFL.com	35-42-1	45.5% 35–57%	78
5	Dan Parr NFL.com	35-42-1	45.5% 35–57%	78
7	John Breech CBS Sports	34-42-2	44.7% 34–56%	78
8	Jeremy Bergman NFL.com	34-43-1	44.2% 34–55%	78
9	Jared Dubin CBS Sports	33-43-2	43.4% 33–55%	78
9	Pete Prisco CBS Sports	33-43-2	43.4% 33–55%	78
9	Tyler Sullivan CBS Sports	33-43-2	43.4% 33–55%	78
12	Gennaro Filice NFL.com	33-44-1	42.9% 32–54%	78

14 experts with fewer than 30 decided picks (not ranked)

Listed by win %. Too few picks to rank.
#	Expert	W-L-P	Win % 95% range	Picks
—	Will Hill FOX Sports	5-2-0	71.4% 36–92%	7
—	Eric Thompson Daily Norseman	9-5-0	64.3% 39–84%	14
—	Jeremy Reisman Pride of Detroit	9-5-0	64.3% 39–84%	14
—	John Whiticar Pride of Detroit	8-6-0	57.1% 33–79%	14
—	Warren Ludford Daily Norseman	8-6-0	57.1% 33–79%	14
—	Anthony Balaj Pride of Detroit	7-7-0	50.0% 27–73%	14
—	Brandon Knapp Pride of Detroit	7-7-0	50.0% 27–73%	14
—	Christopher Gates Daily Norseman	7-7-0	50.0% 27–73%	14
—	Meko Scott Pride of Detroit	7-7-0	50.0% 27–73%	14
—	Zac Snyder Pride of Detroit	7-7-0	50.0% 27–73%	14
—	GA Skol Daily Norseman	6-8-0	42.9% 21–67%	14
—	Shawn C Daily Norseman	6-8-0	42.9% 21–67%	14
—	Sam Buegler Daily Norseman	5-9-0	35.7% 16–61%	14
—	Ryan Mathews Pride of Detroit	0-1-0	0.0% 0–79%	1

Totals

Few outlets publish over/under picks, and we have one week of them so far.

No expert has 30 decided picks in this market yet.

10 experts with fewer than 30 decided picks (not ranked)

Listed by win %. Too few picks to rank.
#	Expert	W-L-P	Win % 95% range	Picks
—	Meko Scott Pride of Detroit	10-4-0	71.4% 45–88%	14
—	Eric Thompson Daily Norseman	8-6-0	57.1% 33–79%	14
—	Warren Ludford Daily Norseman	8-6-0	57.1% 33–79%	14
—	Sam Buegler Daily Norseman	7-6-0	53.8% 29–77%	13
—	Christopher Gates Daily Norseman	7-7-0	50.0% 27–73%	14
—	John Whiticar Pride of Detroit	7-7-0	50.0% 27–73%	14
—	Will Hill FOX Sports	1-1-0	50.0% 9–91%	2
—	GA Skol Daily Norseman	6-8-0	42.9% 21–67%	14
—	Shawn C Daily Norseman	6-8-0	42.9% 21–67%	14
—	Ryan Mathews Pride of Detroit	0-1-0	0.0% 0–79%	1

Top records by week

Week	Straight up	Against the spread
Week 1	Brooke Cersosimo (NFL.com) and Tyler Sullivan (CBS Sports) 13-3-0	Dave Richard (CBS Sports) 11-5-0
Week 2	Jared Dubin (CBS Sports) and Jeremy Fowler (ESPN) 12-4-0	Brooke Cersosimo (NFL.com), Jamey Eisenberg (CBS Sports), Jared Dubin (CBS Sports) and John Breech (CBS Sports) 10-6-0
Week 3	Dave Richard (CBS Sports) 11-5-0	Jamey Eisenberg (CBS Sports) 11-4-1
Week 4	Kalyn Kahler (ESPN) 13-3-0	Bobby Kownack (NFL.com) 8-7-1
Week 5	Gilberto Manzano (Sports Illustrated), Lindsey Thiry (ESPN) and Pete Prisco (CBS Sports) 10-3-1	Will Hill (FOX Sports) 5-2-0