NFL expert picks against the spread
In short
Top ATS record this season: Jamey Eisenberg (CBS Sports), 46-30-2. 1 of 12 ranked experts is above 50%.
A spread pick wins when the picked team's score plus the spread beats the other team's score. Each pick is graded at the line its own outlet printed. At standard -110 pricing, 52.4% is the break-even rate.
Expert spread picks, Week 5
| Game | Experts on each side | Lines | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| TB at DAL TB 24, DAL 16 | TB 3 · DAL 22 | CBS Sports DAL -8, NFL.com DAL -8.5 | 3 of 25 won |
| PHI at JAX PHI 17, JAX 19 | PHI 9 · JAX 15 | CBS Sports JAX -6.5, NFL.com JAX -7.5 | 9 of 24 won |
| CHI at GB CHI 7, GB 31 | CHI 17 · GB 8 | CBS Sports CHI -3, NFL.com CHI -1.5 | 8 of 25 won |
| CIN at MIA CIN 31, MIA 24 | CIN 19 · MIA 6 | CBS Sports CIN -7.5, NFL.com CIN -6.5 | 16 of 25 won |
| CLE at NYJ CLE 12, NYJ 17 | CLE 16 · NYJ 8 | CBS Sports NYJ -2.5, NFL.com NYJ -1.5 | 8 of 24 won |
| HOU at TEN HOU 26, TEN 3 | HOU 16 · TEN 8 | CBS Sports HOU -7, NFL.com HOU -7.5 | 16 of 24 won |
| IND at PIT IND 22, PIT 34 | IND 14 · PIT 11 | CBS Sports PIT -2.5, NFL.com PIT -2.5 | 11 of 25 won |
| LV at NE LV 17, NE 45 | LV 14 · NE 11 | CBS Sports NE -3.5, NFL.com NE -3.5 | 11 of 25 won |
| MIN at NO MIN 23, NO 13 | MIN 19 · NO 5 | CBS Sports MIN -2, NFL.com MIN -1.5 | 19 of 24 won |
| NYG at WSH NYG 27, WSH 27 | NYG 17 · WSH 8 | CBS Sports WSH -3.5, NFL.com WSH -3.5 | 17 of 25 won |
| DEN at LAC DEN 23, LAC 17 | DEN 17 · LAC 8 | CBS Sports DEN -3.5, NFL.com DEN -3.5 | 17 of 25 won |
| DET at ARI DET 45, ARI 21 | DET 17 · ARI 7 | CBS Sports DET -4.5, NFL.com DET -5.5 | 17 of 24 won |
| SF at SEA SF 32, SEA 29 | SF 8 · SEA 17 | CBS Sports SEA -3, NFL.com SEA -3 | 8 of 25 won |
| BAL at ATL BAL 30, ATL 23 | BAL 9 · ATL 15 | CBS Sports ATL -3, NFL.com ATL -3.5 | 9 of 24 won |
| BUF at LAR Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET | BUF 10 · LAR 6 | NFL.com LAR -3.5 | Pending |
ATS records, 2026 season
| # | Expert | W-L-P | Win % 95% range | Picks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamey Eisenberg CBS Sports | 46-30-2 | 60.5% 49–71% | 78 |
| 2 | Dave Richard CBS Sports | 38-38-2 | 50.0% 39–61% | 78 |
| 3 | Brooke Cersosimo NFL.com | 36-41-1 | 46.8% 36–58% | 78 |
| 4 | Ryan Wilson CBS Sports | 35-41-2 | 46.1% 35–57% | 78 |
| 5 | Bobby Kownack NFL.com | 35-42-1 | 45.5% 35–57% | 78 |
| 5 | Dan Parr NFL.com | 35-42-1 | 45.5% 35–57% | 78 |
| 7 | John Breech CBS Sports | 34-42-2 | 44.7% 34–56% | 78 |
| 8 | Jeremy Bergman NFL.com | 34-43-1 | 44.2% 34–55% | 78 |
| 9 | Jared Dubin CBS Sports | 33-43-2 | 43.4% 33–55% | 78 |
| 9 | Pete Prisco CBS Sports | 33-43-2 | 43.4% 33–55% | 78 |
| 9 | Tyler Sullivan CBS Sports | 33-43-2 | 43.4% 33–55% | 78 |
| 12 | Gennaro Filice NFL.com | 33-44-1 | 42.9% 32–54% | 78 |
Where the spread picks come from
- CBS Sports: CBS Sports' panel picks every game twice: straight up, and against the spread at a line CBS prints for each game.
- NFL.com: NFL.com's editors pick a winner and a final score for every game. NFL.com grades them against the spread by comparing the predicted score with the FanDuel line printed in the article, and so do we.
- Daily Norseman: Writers at Daily Norseman, an SB Nation team site, post their picks on Tallysight. Tallysight stamps the time of each pick and records the line and price at that moment. They are a separate staff from SB Nation's national panel, and we track them separately.
- Pride of Detroit: Writers at Pride of Detroit, an SB Nation team site, post their picks on Tallysight. Tallysight stamps the time of each pick and records the line and price at that moment. They are a separate staff from SB Nation's national panel, and we track them separately.
- FOX Sports: Will Hill's weekly FOX Sports column picks selected games against the spread and on the total, each with a listed price.